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No. That’s the whole ball game right there. He’s admitting essentially that the reason prediction markets matter is because of the insider information, because it’s the news before it happens. You can’t get there in any credible way without having insider information.
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tempted to start the slice out at a larger size, to avoid all of these
1961年3月13日,郭沫若在广州和陈寅恪见面。据谢保成《龙虎斗与马牛风——论中国现代史学与史家》(第235页,三联书店,2012年),郭沫若当天日记:“同乃超去看陈寅恪,他生于丙寅,我生于壬辰,我笑说今日相见是龙虎斗。伊左目尚能见些白光,但身体甚弱,今年曾病了好久。胃肠不好,血压不大高。不相信中药,自言平生不曾用过参。”这次见面后,留下一副对联:“壬水庚金龙虎斗,郭聋陈瞽马牛风”。这副对联,据陆键东《陈寅恪的最后二十年》注释说,郭沫若秘书王戎笙曾在电话中告诉他,此联郭陈各半,此为一说。
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struct InlineRepr {
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