:first-child]:h-full [&:first-child]:w-full [&:first-child]:mb-0 [&:first-child]:rounded-[inherit] h-full w-full
群智咨询执行副总经理兼首席分析师陈军算了一笔账：“以12GB+256GB的内存为例，2025年第三季度价格是45美元左右，预计2026年第三季度价格预计为85美元左右，内存价格会增加40美元。对终端厂商而言，价格相当于多加了一块之前的内存。”
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“We find that consumer prices have risen disproportionately in categories facing larger tariff increases,” Goldman Sachs said in a note to investors and analysts last autumn. An updated forecast this week estimated that “tariff pass-through increased core PCE (personal consumption expenditure) prices by about 0.7% through January and will raise prices by a further 0.1% in the remainder of 2026.”
这话听起来只是个比喻，但一传开，就被解读成 AI vs 人类的「效能大战」。Altman 到底想表达什么？简单说，他觉得大家批评 AI 时，总拿「训练模型」的总能耗和人类「回答一个问题」的瞬间能耗比，这不公平。